Foreign Exchange (FOREX) is the arena where a nation's
currency is exchanged for that of another. The foreign
exchange market is the largest financial market in the
world, with the equivalent of over $1.9 to $2.5 trillion
changing hands daily; more than three times the
aggregate amount of the US Equity and Treasury markets
combined. Unlikeother financial markets, the Forex
market has no physical location and no central exchange.
It operates through a global network of banks,
corporations and individuals trading one currency for
another. The lack of a physical exchange enables the
Forex market to operate on a 24-hour basis, spanning
from one zone to another in all the major financial
centers.
Traditionally,
retail investors' only means of gaining access to the
foreign exchange market was through banks that
transacted large amounts of currencies for commercial
and investment purposes. Trading volume has increased
rapidly over time, especially after exchange rates were
allowed to float freely in 1971. Today, importers and
exporters, international portfolio managers,
multinational corporations, speculators, day traders,
long-term holders and hedge funds all use the FOREX
market to pay for goods and services, transact in
financial assets or to reduce the risk of currency
movements by hedging their exposure in other markets.
For active traders and investors, foreign exchange
should be no different than other investment products
such as equities, commodities, bonds, notes, bills,
etc.. In fact because of the globalization of the
economic world and the consolidation of whole economic
regions (i.e., the European Union), having currencies as
part of a diversified portfolio simply makes sound
portfolio sense.
Just
like these other investment alternatives, foreign
exchange offers traders/investors a market (it is an
over-the counter market) where they can buy and/or sell
an investment product. In this case it is a specific
Currency Pair. The currency pair may be the Euro versus
the US Dollar, the US Dollar versus the Japanese Yen,
the British Pound versus the US Dollar , the Euro versus
British Pound, or a number of other currency
combinations.
The different currency combinations represent nothing
more than the value of one currency versus the value of
another. That relationship is represented by a single
price. In foreign exchange, the price of a currency
pair is the markets expectations (at that time) of the
value of that currency vis-à-vis another currency given
the current and expected economic and political
situation of the two countries. In equity terms, it is
the price of the stock.
If, for example, a country's inflation/interest rates
are low and stable. If it's economy is strong. If it's
politics are stable and expectations are for more of the
same, then one can expect (in general) for that
country's currency to remain strong versus a less
fundamentally favorable currency.
Contrasting
that with an equity, if the domestic and global economy
is strong. If inflation is not running away. If
competition is not taking away market share or eating
into margins. If product demand and growth are strong.
If the companies internal "politics" are such that the
workers are happy and productive, and expectations are
for more of the same, then you can expect that companies
stock to remain strong versus a company with less
favorable fundamentals.
Like equities there are other factors that determine the
short term value of a product including technical
analysis, short term supply and demand, seasonal capital
flow patterns, the current price of the instrument,
etc. It is these universal dynamics that will move a
currency up or down. By analyzing the pricing dynamics
and combining that with sound money management
discipline like stop loss orders, the investor can
insure greater success in his foreign exchange trading.
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